CONVECTIVE FORECAST
VALID 06Z TUE 10/02 - 06Z WED 11/02 2004
ISSUED: 09/02 18:57Z
FORECASTER: HAKLANDER

General thunderstorms are forecast across the extreme ERN Mediterranean.

SYNOPSIS

An amplifying Rossby wave with its ridge across the British Isles and its trough across Belarus and Ukraine migrates eastward more and more slowly.

Low MUCAPE of a few hundred J/kg might bring some innocuous thunderstorms across the extreme ERN Mediterranean.

DISCUSSION

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